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Hedera (HBAR) Price Performance Analysis: January 21, 2026
As of January 21, 2026, Hedera (HBAR) is navigating a dynamic cryptocurrency market, demonstrating resilience amidst broader sector fluctuations. While specific real-time price data for this future date is beyond current predictive capabilities, market analysis from mid-January 2026 suggests HBAR is trading around the $0.12 mark, consolidating after a period of volatility. Earlier in January 2026, HBAR saw a decline from recent peaks, dropping over 12% from its 30-day high. However, it has remained up from its lowest points, indicating a period of cooling prices with a net gain over the monthly minimum.
Short-term price forecasts for January 2026 positioned HBAR between $0.109 and $0.114, with an average cost of $0.112. Other analyses suggested HBAR could reach $0.1134 by January 24, 2026, representing a modest growth. Technical indicators observed around January 17, 2026, showed HBAR consolidating at $0.12, with the Parabolic SAR indicating indecision and the MACD flattening near the zero line, suggesting weakening bearish momentum. Key resistance levels were identified at $0.13, $0.14, and $0.16, while support lay at $0.11, $0.10, and $0.09.
Despite a general "risk-off" sentiment in the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin slipping below $91,000 and the global market cap declining on January 20, 2026, Hedera's underlying fundamentals continue to draw attention.
Factors Affecting Hedera Price
1. Market-Wide Trends and Sentiment: The broader cryptocurrency market has experienced a turbulent start to 2026. On January 20, 2026, the global crypto market capitalization saw a 3% decline, with most major cryptocurrencies posting losses. Bitcoin (BTC) traded lower, hovering around $91,051, down 2.18% in 24 hours on January 20, 2026. This market-wide downturn is influenced by macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and shifts in trade policy. However, amidst this volatility, there are signals of selective dip-buying and continued institutional demand for Bitcoin, suggesting an incremental rebuilding of confidence.
2. Hedera Ecosystem Developments and Enterprise Adoption: Hedera's long-term value proposition is strongly tied to its enterprise-grade utility and expanding ecosystem. In 2026, Hedera is focusing on infrastructural development, scaling, and corporate adoption, with priorities including improving network performance, enhancing the Hedera Consensus Service, and supporting EVM compatibility. The network's codebase is also transitioning to a fully open project format under the Linux Foundation's Hiero initiative.
2025 saw significant advancements in Hedera's DeFi and tokenization capabilities, expanding to both institutional and retail users. The launch of the Australian Digital Dollar and the introduction of FLEX (a decentralized foreign exchange platform) were notable developments. Companies are leveraging Hedera for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, with examples including the tokenization of over $5 billion in commercial real estate and integrations of equities like Apple and Tesla into Hedera's DeFi ecosystem. The network also observed substantial growth in stablecoin market cap and daily transactions during Q1 2025, signaling increased adoption. Hedera's ability to support diverse financial activities and its commitment to compliance-ready, AI-integrated applications underscore its positioning.
3. Tokenomics and Supply Dynamics: HBAR has a fixed maximum supply of 50 billion tokens, all pre-minted at launch and distributed from the Hedera Treasury according to a predetermined schedule. As of mid-2025, the circulating supply was approximately 42 billion HBAR. The Hedera Council manages token releases, with around 34% of the total HBAR expected to be in circulation by the end of 2025. The planned increase in the cost of operation for the consensus service starting January 2026 is aimed at the network's long-term economic stability and rewarding node operators.
4. Governance and Partnerships: Hedera's unique governance model, led by a Governing Council composed of global enterprises (including Google, IBM, and Boeing), plays a crucial role in its stability and strategic direction. The Council focuses on maintaining the network's security, integrity, and decentralization. New Governing Council members were anticipated in 2025, further strengthening its diverse composition. Strategic partnerships and integrations, such as with Tata Communications and the World Economic Forum (WEF) 2026 sponsorship, also contribute to Hedera's visibility and perceived long-term value.
5. Technical Analysis and Support Levels (as of mid-January 2026): Technical analysis in mid-January 2026 indicated HBAR forming a 'W' base (double bottom) pattern, with critical support at $0.102. A breakout above the $0.135 area, which also acts as the neckline of the 'W' pattern and converges with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), could signal a potential 31% upward move towards $0.176. However, failure to hold above the $0.11 region could invite further downside pressure.
6. Institutional Interest and ETF Demand: Institutional interest remains a significant driver. Canary Capital's spot HBAR ETF continued to add exposure, holding roughly 1.1% of the circulating supply by early January 2026, indicating steady institutional confidence. Furthermore, the week ending January 16, 2026, saw the strongest ETF inflow for HBAR at approximately $1.46 million, suggesting capital absorption during consolidation phases.
Conclusion
On January 21, 2026, Hedera's price performance is characterized by consolidation within a volatile broader crypto market. While facing downward pressure from general market sentiment, HBAR is strongly supported by its robust enterprise adoption, ongoing ecosystem developments, and growing institutional interest. The network's continued focus on real-world utility, scalability, and decentralized governance positions it as a significant player in the evolving digital economy. Investors and observers should closely monitor market-wide trends, Hedera's strategic partnerships, and technical breakouts for further insights into its future trajectory.
The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant volatility today, January 21, 2026, marked by a broad "risk-off" sentiment influencing major digital assets. This turbulence has seen the global crypto market capitalization slide by 3% recently, with a vast majority of the top 100 cryptocurrencies recording losses.
Market Movers: Bitcoin and Ethereum Face Headwinds Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, dipped below the $90,000 mark for the first time since January 9th, mirroring a wider sell-off across global financial markets. As of today, Bitcoin is trading around $89,546.00, having retreated nearly 30% from its all-time high of $126,210.50 recorded in October 2025. While some analysts predict Bitcoin could reach new highs by the end of January, others, like 21Shares co-founder Ophelia Snyder, maintain a more cautious outlook, deeming a significant rally unlikely this month due to prevailing risk-off sentiment.
Ethereum (ETH) has also felt the pressure, experiencing a drop of over 7% and currently consolidating between $3,116 and $3,180. Despite this, institutional interest in Ethereum remains strong, with major firms like Bitmine and various ETFs continuing to accumulate ETH, effectively removing a substantial amount from liquid circulation. This ongoing institutional accumulation, however, has yet to translate into immediate price surges, creating a gap between structural demand and market price action.
Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Market Contraction The primary driver behind the current market downturn appears to be escalating geopolitical tensions. President Donald Trump's proposition to acquire Greenland and the subsequent threats of tariffs against European nations have sent ripples through both traditional equity and digital asset markets. This macroeconomic uncertainty has prompted investors to flee riskier assets, leading to a shift towards traditional safe havens such as gold, which has seen record highs.
Evolving Regulatory Landscape and Institutional Integration Despite the immediate market pressures, the broader crypto landscape continues its march towards maturity and institutional integration. Throughout 2026, the market is expected to focus on robust infrastructure development and clearer regulatory frameworks rather than speculative price hype. In the United States, 2025 saw a significant pivot in regulatory approach, moving from crypto-skepticism to fostering flexibility for market participants. There is an expectation that the US Congress will adopt a comprehensive "market infrastructure" bill to regulate digital asset brokers, dealers, and exchanges, bringing much-needed clarity to the sector. Furthermore, new US regulations, such as the GENIUS Act, are paving the way for stablecoins to integrate into mainstream finance by providing clear guidelines for issuance and reserve requirements.
Globally, regulatory actions are also tightening. The Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) implemented a ban on privacy coins like Monero and Zcash within the Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC) earlier in January, citing anti-money laundering (AML) concerns. This move aligns with a growing global trend towards increased transparency in digital asset transactions.
Ethereum's Technical Roadmap and Altcoin Movements On the development front, Ethereum's roadmap for 2026 is centered on enhancing rollup data capacity and improving base-layer execution, supported by the recent Fusaka upgrade. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently shared an ambitious vision for the year, aiming to restore core principles of self-sovereignty and trustlessness through advancements in ZK-EVMs and scaling solutions, even while acknowledging concerns about increasing protocol complexity.
In the altcoin market, Solana (SOL) remains a significant player, with plans for a major consensus upgrade via its Alpenglow protocol. While some meme coins like Ponke, Popcat, and Mog are showing weakness, they are also approaching potential reversal points. Notably, tokenized gold and various DeFi tokens have shown resilience and outperformed other segments of the market recently. A significant token unlock event for PLUME is also scheduled for today, which could introduce additional liquidity and sentiment shifts into the market.
Overall, while the crypto market navigates a period of price correction driven by macroeconomic factors, underlying trends indicate a maturing ecosystem, increased institutional adoption, and an evolving regulatory landscape that promises greater clarity and integration with traditional finance in the long term.
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How are institutions and celebrities predicting Bitcoin prices in 2026?
The table below shows the price predictions for Bitcoin by relevant institutions and prominent figures at the end of 2025. All information was collected from publicly available online sources.
Optimistic views are primarily based on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, increased institutional allocation, and structural buying driven by spot ETFs, with targets mostly concentrated between $150,000 and $250,000. Cautious and bearish views emphasize that slowing demand, macroeconomic tightening, or technical structural disruption could trigger a deep pullback, with scenarios potentially leading to declines to $70,000, $56,000, $25,000, or even $10,000.
Some of these institutions' and celebrities' past predictions were very close to Bitcoin's price performance, while others were quite far off. Therefore, please consider these predictions objectively in conjunction with more information.
In summary, Bitcoin's price performance in 2026 will primarily be driven by the implementation of the US National Bitcoin Strategic Reserve policy and the macro liquidity resulting from global monetary easing. Meanwhile, the market's cyclical recovery demand following the significant correction in 2025, the continued allocation of institutional funds, and global geopolitical and inflationary pressures will also be key variables influencing its price trend.
| Institution / Individual | Description | Bitcoin target price in 2026 | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hoskinson | Cardano founder | $250,000 | Very optimistic |
| Robert Kiyosaki | Rich Dad, Poor Dad author | $250,000 | Very optimistic |
| Galaxy Digital | Crypto asset management company | $250,000 | Very optimistic |
| Arthur Hayes | BitMEX co-founder | $200,000+ | Very optimistic |
| Brad Garlinghouse | Ripple CEO | $180,000 | Very optimistic |
| VanEck | Investment companies specializing in ETFs | $180,000 | Very optimistic |
| JPMorgan | A leading global financial services group | $170,000 | Very optimistic |
| Tom Lee | Fundstrat founder | $150,000–$200,000 | Very optimistic |
| Standard Chartered Bank | British International Commercial Bank | $150,000 | Optimistic |
| Bernstein Research | Wall Street investment banks | $150,000 | Optimistic |
| Bitwise | Crypto asset management company | $150,000 | Optimistic |
| Citigroup | Global financial services group | $143,000 | Optimistic |
| Grayscale | The world's largest crypto asset management company | Breaking all-time high | Optimistic |
| Jurrien Timmer | Fidelity Director of Global Macro | $75,000 | Pessimistic |
| CryptoQuant | On-chain data analytics platform | $56,000~$70,000 | Pessimistic |
| Peter Brandt | Legendary trader with over 40 years of experience | $25,000 | Very Pessimistic |
| Mike McGlone | Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence | $10,000 | Very Pessimistic |
What will the price of HBAR be in 2027?
In 2027, based on a +5% annual growth rate forecast, the price of Hedera(HBAR) is expected to reach $0.1160; based on the predicted price for this year, the cumulative return on investment of investing and holding Hedera until the end of 2027 will reach +5%. For more details, check out the Hedera price predictions for 2026, 2027, 2030-2050.What will the price of HBAR be in 2030?
About Hedera (HBAR)
About Hedera
Hedera (HBAR) is a public network that leverages the hashgraph consensus algorithm to enable fast, fair, and secure transactions. Unlike traditional blockchain">blockchain technology, Hedera doesn't form a single chain of blocks but instead weaves all transactions into a single whole, ensuring that no data is discarded. This innovative approach allows Hedera to process hundreds of thousands of transactions per second, with consensus latency measured in seconds, making it one of the most efficient and scalable platforms in the distributed ledger space.
The vision of Hedera is to create a trusted, secure, and empowered digital future for all. Its mission revolves around building a safe and private digital community where users can interact with confidence. Hedera aims to provide a platform where individuals can work, play, buy, sell, create, and engage socially with safety and privacy. The emphasis on trust, security, and empowerment reflects Hedera's commitment to fostering a positive digital environment for all users.
Hedera was founded in 2017 by American technologists Leemon Baird and Mance Harmon, who also launched Swirlds Labs. Both founders possess extensive experience in the software development and tech industry, with expertise spanning AI, security, defense, identity, and more. As of August 2023, the Hedera network processes 66,670,036 transactions per day, with an average transaction time of 5.64 seconds.
Resources
Whitepaper: https://hedera.com/hh_whitepaper_v2.1-20200815.pdf
Official website: https://hedera.com/
How Does Hedera Work
Hedera leverages the hashgraph consensus algorithm to enable a decentralized network capable of processing hundreds of thousands of transactions per second. Unlike traditional blockchain, where blocks can be discarded, Hedera incorporates every container of transactions into the ledger, ensuring efficiency and fairness. The system's asynchronous Byzantine Fault Tolerance (aBFT) provides robust security, including resilience to Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attacks, and ensures fair access and ordering of transactions.
The governance of Hedera is overseen by a council of up to 39 leading global enterprises, reflecting a diverse range of industries and geographies. This decentralized governance structure ensures that no single member has control, and no small group can exert undue influence. Stability is further ensured through technical controls that validate the pedigree of the ledger and legal controls that prevent unauthorized forks, providing a stable platform for mainstream adoption.
Hedera also emphasizes regulatory compliance, with features like controlled mutability of the network state and the ability to attach additional data to transactions. These features enable compliance with regulations like GDPR and facilitate Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti Money Laundering (AML) checks. While not open source, Hedera's code is publicly available for review, ensuring transparency and stability through the defensive use of hashgraph software patents.
What is HBAR Token?
HBAR is the native token of Hedera, used to power the network and enable various functionalities. HBAR has a hard cap maximum supply of 50 billion. At the moment, there are 38.24 billion HBAR tokens in circulation.
- Transaction Fees: HBAR is used to pay for transaction fees on the network, ensuring that users contribute to the network's maintenance. The cost per HBAR transaction to be very small, around $0.0001 USD
- Network Security: HBAR tokens are staked by nodes to secure the network, providing incentives for honest behavior.
- Smart Contracts and Decentralized Applications (DApps): Developers can use HBAR to build and deploy smart contracts and DApps on the Hedera network.
- Governance: HBAR also plays a role in governance, allowing token holders to have a say in network decisions.
Conclusion
Hedera represents a significant evolution in the field of distributed ledger technology. By leveraging the hashgraph algorithm, it offers unparalleled performance, security, and fairness. The HBAR token, as an integral part of the ecosystem, facilitates transactions, security, and development on the platform.
It's important to note that like any other cryptocurrencies, Hedera carries its own risks and it's always wise to do your own research and exercise caution while investing.
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