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As 2025 draws to a close, the debate over which U.S. administration has been "better" for the crypto industry has moved beyond political slogans to hard market data. While Donald Trump’s 2025 return was hailed as the dawn of the "Pro-Crypto Presidency," the actual price performance of Bitcoin (BTC) tells a more complex story. Despite a friendly regulatory shift and the expansion of altcoin ETFs, Bitcoin is on track to end 2025 with a 5% loss, contrasting sharply with the double-and-triple-digit gains seen during the Biden administration. This paradox highlights a core market reality: while policy can lower barriers to entry, macroeconomic shocks—such as trade tariffs—and excessive leverage can still derail even the most "pro-crypto" environment. I. The Performance Gap: Biden’s Gains vs. Trump’s Volatility A direct comparison of annual returns reveals a surprising trend that defies the "hostile vs. friendly" political narrative: The Biden Era (2021–2024): Despite the "war on crypto" rhetoric, Bitcoin thrived under the Biden administration. It gained 65% in 2021, recovered from the 2022 crash with a 155% surge in 2023, and climbed another 120.7% in 2024. By the time Biden left office, the asset had matured significantly, supported by the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. The Trump Return (2025): Trump’s second term began with massive optimism, pushing BTC to an all-time high of $125,761 in October. However, these gains were eroded by a series of aggressive economic policies—specifically, 100% tariffs on China and new levies on the EU. These moves triggered a massive $20 billion wipeout of leveraged positions in October alone, leaving Bitcoin down roughly 5% year-to-date. II. Structural Progress Amidst Market Stress While price performance has been lackluster in 2025, the Trump administration has overseen significant structural maturation of the industry: ETF Proliferation: Following the departure of Gary Gensler, the SEC adopted generic listing standards, allowing for the rapid launch of ETFs for Solana (SOL), XRP, Litecoin (LTC), and HBAR. This has dramatically expanded institutional access to altcoins, with the XRP ETF seeing the strongest debut in history ($58.6M). Corporate & State Reserves: The "MicroStrategy Playbook" went mainstream in 2025, with public companies and even several U.S. states establishing Bitcoin reserve initiatives (Digital Asset Treasuries or DATs). Direct Presidential Involvement: Unprecedentedly, the Trump family became directly involved in the sector through ventures like American Bitcoin Corp and the WLFI token. While these projects helped legitimize the industry for some, they also raised concerns about market integrity and governance. III. Conclusion: Defining "Help" in a Maturing Market The answer to who "helped" crypto more depends entirely on an investor's metrics. For the Accumulator: The Biden years provided the strongest capital appreciation, turning Bitcoin from a niche speculative asset into a legitimate institutional class. For the Builder: The Trump administration has offered a more hospitable legal environment, reduced enforcement-by-litigation, and a faster path to product innovation. Final Take: As we enter 2026, the "Trump Volatility" remains the primary headwind. While the regulatory "war" is over, Bitcoin has replaced it with a new challenge: navigating a hyper-sensitive global economy defined by trade wars and high leverage. The infrastructure for a mass-adoption bull run is now in place; whether the price follows in 2026 will depend on if the administration can balance its pro-crypto stance with its broader, more disruptive economic agenda. ⚠️ Important Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and is based on market data, political reporting, and analyst commentary. It is not financial advice, nor should it be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or cryptocurrency. Market performance is influenced by a multitude of factors beyond presidential policy. Readers must conduct their own comprehensive research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

Key Points: Spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed significant outflows, impacting market dynamics. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total outflow of $175.3 million. Financial implications include possible price corrections and market volatility. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, including BlackRock and Grayscale, experienced a combined outflow of $175.3 million, primarily on Wednesday, highlighting a significant market movement in ETF investments. The sizeable outflow from Bitcoin ETFs indicates potential investor caution amidst expected price fluctuations, with analysts forecasting Bitcoin’s drop toward $40,000, affecting market sentiment. Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows Spot Bitcoin ETFs reported a substantial outflow of $175.3 million, which marks the fifth consecutive day of net withdrawals. Analysts anticipate potential price declines, signaling risky periods for investors amid these trends. The outflows from issuers such as BlackRock, Grayscale, and Fidelity reflect significant market movements. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust alone experienced $91.4 million in withdrawals, suggesting impactful shifts in investment strategy. Market Reaction The cryptocurrency market is reacting with trading volumes dropping by 48% in 24 hours, indicating a contraction in liquidity. The volatility of BTC is compressing, representing a possible bearish sentiment looming over the market. Financial analysts emphasize potential implications such as a 60% price drop in Bitcoin. This outlook is based on historical patterns and current bearish pressures, highlighting the market’s vulnerability to further corrections. Impacts on Other Digital Assets Current trends also suggest broader impacts on other digital assets, with noteworthy outflows in Ethereum and minor inflows in Solana and XRP ETFs. The persistent market pressures could incite strategic changes by investors amid these turbulent times. Potential market outcomes include varied regulatory and technological developments that may influence future investor behaviors. Historical trends reflect similar outflows around holiday seasons, reinforcing cautious optimism among market participants. Ali Martinez, Crypto Analyst, remarked: “Predicted 60% BTC drop post-50-week moving average break, targeting $40K based on historical patterns.” Post navigation Previous Previous post: JAN3 Shifts to Bitcoin-Only Treasury Strategy

Few topics divide the crypto industry more than politics. Donald Trump is often referred to as Americas first crypto president, while the Biden administration earned a reputation for being hostile toward the sector. But when rhetoric is stripped away and replaced with market data, the picture becomes more nuanced. The key question is not which administration spoke more favorably about crypto, but under whose leadership Bitcoin ultimately performed better. Bitcoin Performance: The Numbers Tell a Clear Story In the 2024 United States presidential election, Trump positioned himself as a pro-crypto candidate, vowing to make the US the crypto capital of the world. He promised to halt anti-crypto actions, rein in SEC crackdowns, and, in his own words: End Joe Bidens war on crypto and we will ensure that the future of crypto and the future of Bitcoin will be made in America. This fueled optimism in the market and ignited hopes for a bull run. Fast forward to near the end of 2025, and Bitcoin is down nearly 5%. The most pro-crypto presidency ever.Every major token down since inauguration. $BTC pic.twitter.com/b1sXRNlqw7 TrendSpider (@TrendSpider) December 23, 2025 By comparison, during Bidens first year as president, the worlds largest cryptocurrency gained roughly 65%. Performance weakened in 2022, but momentum returned in the following years. Bitcoin rebounded strongly, rising approximately 155% in 2023 and a further 120.7% in 2024. YearBitcoin return (%)202165%202264.2%2023155%2024120.7%2025 (As of December 26)-5% When examining Trumps first term as president, an analyst noted that it was the greatest crypto bull run in history, during which the total cryptocurrency market capitalization increased by roughly 115 times from the beginning of his term to its end. Bidens term returned 4.5x from beginning to end, and even at the worst moment, it never went below the annual open for his term. Trumps 2nd term so far is below annual open, but 3 more years to go, the pseudonymous analyst wrote. Bitcoin Under Trump So what actually happened this year? The pullback is not something that can be understood by looking at headline 2025 returns alone. In January, momentum was broadly on Bitcoins side. Ahead of Trumps inauguration, BTC rallied above $109,000, marking a new all-time high at the time. There were also developments on the regulatory side, with the SEC creating a task force to offer a transparent regulatory framework for digital assets. Nonetheless, Trumps next moves erased all these gains. After he announced tariffs on the EU and later expanded on them at Liberation Day, cryptocurrency markets declined alongside equities. Notably, the announcement of a pause led to a modest recovery. This highlighted the markets sensitivity to broader macroeconomic developments and pointed to increased volatility. CRYPTO MARKETS SOAR ON 90-DAY TRUMP TARIFF PAUSE pic.twitter.com/jXXiU992XF Nick ONeill (@chooserich) April 9, 2025 Meanwhile, adoption continued to rise as state-level Bitcoin reserve initiatives and institutional involvement increased. Bitcoins price continued to trend higher, posting positive returns for four consecutive months from April through July. A key trend during this period was the emergence of digital asset treasuries (DATs). Public companies increasingly began adopting Bitcoin as a reserve asset, following the playbook popularized by Micro (Strategy). Bitcoin benefited from this shift, as many experts argued institutional involvement could help reduce volatility and signal the assets maturation within traditional finance. As confidence grew, so did the risk appetite and the use of leverage. High-risk, highly leveraged traders drew widespread attention. On the macroeconomic front, the Fed slashed interest rates in September. This was again bullish for risk assets. Bitcoin went on to reach a new all-time high in October, peaking at $125,761 on October 6. Many projected further upside, with targets ranging from $185,000 to $200,000 by year-end. This optimism was supported by favorable macroeconomic catalysts and Bitcoins historically strong performance during the fourth quarter. BeInCrypto reported that on October 11, Trumps announcement of 100% tariffs on China pulled the market lower. Over $19 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out, resulting in significant losses for many traders. 🚨 BIGGEST WIPEOUT SINCE LUNA, COVID FTX.Heading into Trumps 100% China tariff announcement, markets got the pullback they were waiting for.Nearly $20 BILLION in crypto liquidations in just 24 hours, a record wipeout. 😱Leverage was maxed out and it showed. pic.twitter.com/YeeTE4iPxX Wise Advice (@wiseadvicesumit) October 11, 2025 The broader downturn persisted in the coming months, amplified by leverage. It also appears to be a structural and mechanical downturn. It all began with institutional outflows in mid-to-late October. In the first week of November, crypto funds saw -$1.2 billion of outflows. The problem becomes excessive levels of leverage AMID these outflowsExcessive levels of leverage have resulted in a seemingly hypersensitive market, The Kobeissi Letter posted in November. Bitcoin dropped 17.67% in November and has since lost an additional 1.7% of its value this month, according to Coinglass data. From Bitcoin ETFs to Altcoins: Regulatory Changes and Market Response The Trump and Biden administrations differed on several key issues, one of which was crypto ETFs. Under the Biden administration, the SEC initially took a far more cautious approach to the crypto sector. This stance extended to crypto ETFs. However, the regulatory position shifted following a ruling by the US Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit, which ordered the SEC to reconsider Grayscale Investments application to convert its flagship GBTC fund into a spot Bitcoin ETF. Thus, the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 and later greenlit spot Ethereum ETFs in July. Notably, after Gary Genslers departure from the SEC, asset managers were quick to file multiple applications for altcoin ETFs. Firms including Bitwise, 21 Capital, and Canary Capital, among others, submitted filings to launch a range of crypto-based investment products. In September, the SEC approved generic listing standards, eliminating the need for case-by-case approvals. Following this shift, ETFs linked to assets such as SOL, HBAR, XRP, LTC, LINK, and DOGE entered the market. In November, Canary Capitals XRP ETF saw $58.6 million in trading volume on its first day, ranking as the strongest debut among more than 900 ETFs launched in 2025. Bitwises Solana ETF also attracted significant interest, generating $56 million in first-day volume, while other products recorded comparatively lower activity. From a regulatory standpoint, the ETFs have increased market access, and the ruling reduced barriers for issuers. However, early performance data suggest that the introduction of additional crypto ETFs has not yet translated into a proportional increase in aggregate market inflows. In 2024, spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted approximately $35.2 billion in net inflows. In 2025, inflows into Bitcoin ETFs slowed to $22.16 billion according to SoSoValue data. This divergence suggests that the growth in ETF offerings may have coincided with a redistribution of capital across products rather than an expansion of total crypto exposure. Bitcoin ETF Flows. Source: Data Curated by BeInCrypto Inside the Trump Familys Crypto Empire Although Donald Trumps influence on the market is clear, he has also become directly involved in the crypto space. In January, the president introduced a meme coin, soon followed by a closely resembling token launched by Melania Trump. In March, US President Donald Trumps sons, Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., partnered with Hut 8 to launch American Bitcoin Corp. These ventures have generated significant wealth for the US president and his family. According to a Reuters analysis, they earned more than $800 million from crypto asset sales in the first half of 2025 alone, Trump Family Crypto Wealth. Source: Reuters One could argue that these moves helped legitimize the sector and accelerate adoption. Still, Trumps direct and indirect involvement in crypto-related ventures raises concerns around optics, governance, and market integrity. While meme coins are not new to the crypto space, their association with a sitting US president is unprecedented. These activities have also drawn sharp criticism from regulators and users alike. The Trump meme coin, WLFI, and American Bitcoin Corp have all suffered steep declines, resulting in significant losses for supporters. $BTC is down 24% since 'The Crypto President' took office.Meanwhile the Trump family reported nearly $1B in crypto profits and they're holding billions of dollars more in their own tokens.Are they in it for the right reasons? pic.twitter.com/L6HoYbmvRh Quinten | 048.eth (@QuintenFrancois) November 21, 2025 Conclusion Taken together, the data suggest that the answer to who helped crypto the most depends on how help is defined. Under Trump, crypto has benefited from a friendlier regulatory tone, reduced enforcement pressure, and faster approval of new investment products. These changes lowered barriers for issuers and expanded market access. However, market performance tells a different story. Bitcoins strongest gains occurred earlier, during Joe Bidens presidency. Meanwhile, Trumps first year back in office has been marked by heightened volatility. Read the article at BeInCrypto

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