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🔥 Support Test Could Decide the Next Move $TAO LONG Enter Between: 254.8 – 258.0 Take Your Money At: 267.0 – 269.9 Dyor

TL;DR: Bitcoin fell toward $78,200 after another rejection near $80,000, leaving BTC about 4% below last week’s three-month high near $82,500. XRP slipped below $1.40 while Ether fell under $2,500, yet BNB reclaimed $750 and selected DeFi tokens including AERO, CAKE and INJ advanced. Futures positioning remained cautious, with total open interest near $141 billion, while Bitcoin futures showed possible fresh short activity and options still reflected some active bullish expectations. Bitcoin slipped toward $78,000 on Tuesday after another rejection near $80,000, extending a pullback that has erased much of last week’s rebound. BTC fell as low as $78,200 before hovering just above that level, leaving it roughly 4% below Thursday’s three-month high near $82,500. The renewed weakness shows how quickly Bitcoin’s recovery has stalled beneath persistent resistance, even after briefly pushing above $80,400 on Monday. Its market capitalization declined to about $1.570 trillion, while broader crypto market value fell around 1% to $2.670 trillion as selling spread across several major assets during Tuesday’s trading session. XRP added another pressure point by falling below the $1.40 area and trading around $1.39, while Ether slipped back under $2,500 after failing to hold that threshold over Sunday and Monday. Solana remained above $100 despite a 1.7% daily decline, showing that losses were uneven across large-cap tokens. The market’s weakness was broad, but it was not uniform, with Zcash, Monero, Chainlink and Hyperliquid giving back part of their recent gains. TAO dropped 6%, while PONS retreated more than 10% after its powerful rally, reinforcing the shift toward selective rather than synchronized performance on Tuesday. BNB and DeFi Tokens Resist Broader Selling Pressure BNB stood out by reclaiming $750, rising as Bitcoin and several peers moved lower. Related BNB Chain assets also strengthened, with PancakeSwap gaining 7.5% over 24 hours and Syrup advancing, while Aerodrome Finance surged roughly 17% and Injective climbed 10%. DeFi-linked tokens provided pockets of resilience during an otherwise cautious session, supported by stronger futures positioning in some names. AERO’s futures open interest reached a record 129 million tokens alongside positive cumulative volume delta, while INJ displayed a similar bullish setup after breaking above $6, a level that had acted as supply since mid-June overall. Derivatives data nevertheless showed a market lacking broad conviction. Total futures open interest remained near $141 billion while trading volume rose 5% to $149.85 billion, suggesting rotation rather than a build in leverage. Bitcoin open interest in USDT and USD futures climbed from 257,000 BTC to 265,000 BTC as spot price fell toward $78,700, potentially indicating short positioning. The split between defensive Bitcoin trading and strength in selected DeFi assets captures the market’s current tension. Weekly options still showed active BTC and ETH calls, keeping bullish bets alive despite bearish taker flows and renewed pressure.$BTC $ETH $IOST

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Foreign media reports that market maker Wintermute's latest market article suggests that while many investors are worried about missing out on Bitcoin's previous rally, the current consolidation may not signify the end of the rally, but rather a build-up before the next upward move. The article attributes this resilience to some funds gradually shifting from US stocks, particularly the crowded AI trading sector, to crypto assets. **Strong Employment Data Leads to Rapid Rebound** The article mentions that after the latest US employment data exceeded expectations, the market re-bet on the Federal Reserve maintaining a tight stance, putting pressure on gold, Treasury bonds, and tech stocks. Bitcoin also briefly fell below $80,000 from around $82,400, but quickly recovered, recording a gain of approximately 3.45% for the week. Wintermute believes this performance indicates that the crypto market has not simply followed the fluctuations of risk assets recently. Their assessment is that some funds are withdrawing from the US stock sector, which has experienced a prolonged rally, and shifting to Bitcoin and Ethereum, giving crypto assets relative independence at certain times. The pullback is shallower than previous rounds. The article states that a common reason for market hesitation is that prices are already high and a deeper correction is warranted. However, Wintermute believes this cycle is different from the declines of 2018 and 2022. According to their statistics, approximately 340 days have passed since the last all-time high. Compared to previous bear markets, Bitcoin typically falls more than 75% from its high at this stage and remains at low levels for an extended period. However, this time the maximum pullback is only about 50%, significantly shallower than previous rounds. Wintermute attributes this difference to earlier institutional investment, especially through continuous Bitcoin allocation via spot ETFs. The article states that related funds have seen inflows of nearly $1 billion over the past three weeks, with last Thursday's single-day inflow being the largest since January of this year. $82,000 and $72,000 become key levels. Regarding subsequent price movements, Wintermute provides two key price levels. $82,000: If it holds above this level, sidelined funds may accelerate their entry. $72,000: If it falls below this level and there is a significant outflow from ETFs, the bullish momentum may be interrupted. The article also mentions that as Bitcoin and Ethereum have led the charge, some funds have begun to shift towards riskier tokens. UNI and ARB have risen nearly 40% in the past week. AI-related tokens such as TAO and RENDER have also seen increased activity, with market attention focused on events around December. Wintermute believes that the key point to watch this month is the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on September 11th. This data will influence market expectations regarding interest rate paths and will also test whether funds continue to flow from stocks to crypto assets.$BTC $ETH $IOST