Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin Faces a Pivotal Week: Optimistic Buying Meets Bearish Whales Amid Economic Uncertainty
- Bitcoin stabilizes near $87,000 after 11-day selloff, with analysts divided on whether the rebound signals a trend reversal or temporary relief. - US ETFs record $1.22B in outflows amid weak institutional demand, compounded by macroeconomic uncertainty and delayed Fed rate-cut expectations. - Technical indicators show mixed signals: RSI suggests waning bearish momentum, while a "Death Cross" pattern historically precedes deep corrections. - Institutional accumulation by mid-sized wallets contrasts with w
Bitcoin Faces a Crucial Week Amid Market Uncertainty
Bitcoin traders are preparing for a significant week as the cryptocurrency approaches what could be a local bottom, following a sharp 20% drop in November. While some analysts believe the recent price recovery could mark the start of a new upward trend, others see it as only a brief pause before further declines. Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering near $87,000 after an extended 11-day sell-off that saw prices fall to a seven-month low of $80,600. On-chain data indicates that accumulation by mid-sized wallets may offer short-term support, but ongoing selling by large holders and continued outflows from spot ETFs are keeping bearish sentiment alive.
Institutional demand has remained weak, intensifying the November downturn. Last week, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs experienced $1.22 billion in net outflows, marking the fourth straight week of withdrawals. This pattern reflects broader economic uncertainty, with the Federal Reserve delaying expected interest rate cuts—currently, there is a 67.1% probability of a 25-basis-point cut in December. Political developments, such as Donald Trump’s proposal for a $2,000 stimulus check for Americans, have also contributed to market volatility, though prediction markets view the proposal as unlikely.
Mixed Technical Signals
Technical analysis presents a mixed outlook. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed to 31, suggesting that bearish momentum may be slowing. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator hints at a possible bullish crossover. However, the recent formation of a "Death Cross"—where the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average—has historically signaled deeper corrections, as seen with Bitcoin’s 64% drop in 2022 and 67% decline in 2018. Experts emphasize that BTC needs to reclaim the 50-day EMA at $100,937 to confirm a lasting recovery.
Bullish and Bearish Forces at Play
Optimists point to historical capitulation patterns and institutional activity as reasons for hope. According to a Bitcoin analyst cited by Coindesk, a layered capitulation-volume model suggests that $80,000 could be a strong bottom, with a 91% probability of a 35% rebound to $118,000. This perspective is supported by Hilbert Group’s recent purchase of BTC at $84,568 as part of its long-term treasury strategy, indicating institutional confidence despite volatility. On-chain data from CryptoQuant shows that wallets holding between 10 and 1,000 BTC are accumulating, even as larger holders (1,000–10,000 BTC) continue to sell.
Nonetheless, bearish fundamentals remain prominent. Large Bitcoin deposits to exchanges have surged, accounting for 45% of inflows since October—a trend historically linked to failed support at $100,000 and $95,000. Additionally, USDT outflows from exchanges have increased, reducing liquidity for spot purchases and raising the risk of further declines. Deribit data reveals $2 billion in put options at the $80,000 strike price, representing the most bearish positioning since 2022.
Global Adoption and Market Dynamics
Adoption trends in emerging markets add complexity to the outlook. South Africa’s top three crypto exchanges now serve 7.8 million users and hold $1.5 billion in assets, highlighting growing interest across Africa despite ongoing volatility. Meanwhile, SpaceX’s transfer of 1,163 BTC (worth $105 million) to new wallets has fueled speculation about custodial changes, though analysts attribute the move to liquidity management rather than panic selling.
Key Levels and the Road Ahead
The future direction for Bitcoin will likely depend on macroeconomic developments and liquidity trends. Arthur Hayes of BitMEX suggests that Bitcoin could surge to $200,000–$250,000 if the Federal Reserve steps in to stabilize financial markets, though this outcome hinges on Treasury yields and stock market performance. For now, traders are closely watching critical price levels: immediate support at $82,000–$84,000, a bearish target at $74,000, and resistance between $92,000 and $94,000.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
DeFi Faces a Trust Challenge: Balancer Recovers $8 Million Following $128 Million Hack
- Balancer proposes $8M repayment plan after $128M exploit, returning funds to liquidity providers via pro-rata in-kind distribution. - Whitehat actors receive 10% bounties in rescued tokens; non-socialized model ensures pool-specific funds go only to affected LPs. - Exploit exposed systemic risks in DeFi's composable pools, with attackers exploiting rounding errors despite 11 prior audits by four firms. - Governance vote will finalize distribution framework, with claim interface enabling 90-180 day token

AI-driven SaaS Revolution: PetVivo Reduces Expenses by 50-90%, C3.ai Collaborates with Microsoft
- PetVivo.ai cuts veterinary client acquisition costs by 50-90% using AI agents, achieving $42.53 per client vs. $80-$400 industry norms. - C3.ai's Microsoft partnership boosts stock 35% as Azure integration enables enterprise AI scalability through unified data operations. - AI-driven SaaS models like PetVivo's $3/lead platform and C3.ai's 19-27% revenue growth highlight AI's disruptive potential in traditional industries. - Both companies face challenges scaling beta results and converting pilots to long
Ethereum News Today: "Turbulence or Trust? $15 Billion in Crypto Options Set Market Dynamics Against Institutional Hopefulness"
- Bitcoin and Ethereum face $15B options expiry on October 31, 2025, risking amplified volatility amid sharp price declines. - Institutional confidence grows as Bitcoin/ETH ETFs see $217.5M inflows, contrasting crypto's 33-45% drawdowns vs. stable tech stocks. - Tom Lee's firm BMNR boosts ETH holdings to 2.9% of supply, betting on $5,500 mid-2025 and $60K+ 2030 targets. - Deribit data shows Bitcoin's bullish positioning (put-call ratio 0.54) vs. Ethereum's balanced approach, with max pain levels at $100K a

VIPBitget VIP Weekly Research Insights
This year's market has been driven primarily by the growth of DATs, ETFs, and stablecoins. Strong institutional inflows indicate that mainstream U.S. capital is now entering the crypto market. However, after the October 11 black swan event, the market underwent a significant correction due to deleveraging. Even so, several indicators now suggest that a bottom may be forming. Our recommended assets are BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and DOGE.
