Bitcoin cycle review: 1.6 years of oscillation vs 6 months of rise, March may become the next sprint window

Bitcoin has accumulated 583 days in the current cycle and is in a consolidation phase, accounting for about 19.5 months (1.6 years), while the time that really drives the price up is only 175 days (less than 6 months). From a historical pattern, the market has mostly been in a sideways range, and significant price increases often occur in short-term concentrated outbreak periods.

 

Reviewing the past few rounds of rising cycles, it can be found that the price of Bitcoin often experiences a rapid rise of 30-60 days after a long period of oscillation. The structure from 2023 to 2024 also verifies this pattern. After each price break through the range oscillation, it will usher in a rapid rise window of 29-62 days.

 

The key focus of the current market is that March 2025 may become the next important breakthrough window. If historical patterns continue to play a role, the market may enter a new round of price discovery.