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$ETH trying to hold the trend above key support 🫶 I’m going long on $ETH /USDT 👇 ETH/USDT Long Setup (15m) Entry Zone: 2080 – 2100 Stop-Loss: 1975 Take Profit: TP1: 2125 TP2: 2160 TP3: 2220 TP4: 2300 Trade $ETH here 👇

🚨 FOUNDER DENIES HK FUND LIQUIDATION RUMORS 🔴 HUOBI AND AVENIR GROUP DENY INVESTING IN TREND RESEARCH OR GARRETT 🔴 NO SALE OF BTC OR ETH HOLDINGS DURING DOWNTURN 🔴 DENIAL COMES AFTER CLAIMS THAT HONG KONG FUND LIQUIDATION TRIGGERED RECENT CRYPTO CRASH $BTC

There’s an old saying on trading floors: "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." This axiom echoed in my mind this morning as I scanned the charts. The pervasive red, the slow grind lower it creates a specific type of tension. It’s not the heart-pounding panic of a flash crash, but the heavy, persistent feeling of a market searching for a floor. If you’re watching and wondering why the upward momentum has stalled, you’re observing a classic battle between key technical levels and collective sentiment. Having navigated similar phases in 2019 and 2022, I’ve learned that these periods demand a focus on structure, not just price. Today, the structure is being tested, and bitcoin is unequivocally setting the tone. 🔍 Breaking Down the Move: Technical Breakdown & Domino Effect This current pressure isn’t narrative-driven "panic" yet. It’s systematic stress centered on critical support levels. The sequence is clear and fact-based: 1. The Bitcoin Catalyst: A Verified Support Break 🧱 The most significant technical event was Bitcoin's decisive loss of the $75,000 support level. In market structure, such levels act as psychological and technical floors where buy orders cluster. A clean break below them triggers algorithmic selling and forces the hand of leveraged traders. The data confirms this: following the break, over $240 million in BTC long positions were liquidated in a 24-hour window (source: Coinglass). This isn't speculation; it's a verifiable record of forced selling from the derivatives market. 2. The Altcoin Amplifier: BTC Dominance in Action ⚖️ Bitcoin constitutes nearly 60% of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization (per TradingView data). Therefore, when its price engine sputters, the entire convoy slows. This correlation is a fundamental, observable fact of the crypto market's current maturation phase. Ethereum ($ETH), often seen as the lead altcoin, has notably underperformed, down nearly 4% in 24 hours and close to 28% on the weekly chart. Its persistent negative funding rates across major exchanges are a clear, quantitative signal that derivative traders are actively betting on further short-term downside, adding selling pressure. 📊 The Three Core Forces Driving the Selloff: A Factual Triad The current heaviness stems from the convergence of three distinct, verifiable forces: 1. Technical Force: The Key Level Break. As established, the $75K BTC breakdown was the initial technical catalyst. This activated built-in market mechanics (liquidations) and shifted trader psychology from "buy the dip" to "wait and see." 2. Sentiment Force: Fear Dictating Positioning 😨. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has plunged into "Extreme Fear" territory. This is a quantitative sentiment aggregator, not a subjective opinion. My hands-on experience tracking this index shows that while "Extreme Fear" can be a contrarian buy signal eventually, it first describes a present reality: traders are reducing risk exposure. This manifests in lower trading volumes, aversion to altcoins, and a preference for stability (like stablecoins or cash). 3. Macro Force: The Persistent Stock Correlation 📈. Despite narratives of decoupling, BTC has maintained a significant positive correlation with U.S. equity indices, particularly the Nasdaq-100, throughout 2024. This is verifiable through correlation coefficient data on financial platforms. Current macro uncertainty—persistent inflation concerns, shifting interest rate expectations—is weighing on all risk assets. Crypto is not operating in a vacuum; it is being treated as a high-beta risk asset by a significant portion of the institutional capital within it. ✨ What I'm Watching Next: The $72K-$74K Confluence Zone In technical analysis, broken support often becomes new resistance, and the next lower support zone becomes critical. The immediate focus is the $72,000 - $74,000 range for BTC. · The Bull Case Scenario: A convincing reclaim and hold above $74,000, accompanied by a reduction in negative funding rates and a bounce in the Fear & Greed Index off its lows, would suggest the liquidation cascade has been absorbed. This could spark a technical bounce back toward the $75K area. · The Bear Case Scenario: A clean and sustained break below $72,000on high volume would indicate that selling pressure is not exhausted. This could push the market to seek liquidity at lower levels, potentially toward the $68,000 - $70,000 zone, before stronger, value-oriented buyers (often called "strong hands") might step in more aggressively. ⚠️ Personal Insight & Essential Risk Disclosure From my research and experience, markets that fall on "heavy" volume (as seen during the $75K break) often need time to consolidate and rebuild confidence. This process is rarely swift. · My Actionable Take: I am watching on-chain data for signs of accumulation by long-term holders (via entities like Glassnode) during this dip. I am also monitoring BTC's ability to hold the higher-time-frame (weekly) moving averages. My personal strategy in such zones involves strict risk management— reassessing position sizes and avoiding adding leverage into apparent weakness. · Critical Reminder: "Extreme Fear" is a condition, not a timing signal. Markets can remain fearful for extended periods. The macro overlay adds a layer of complexity that pure crypto analysis cannot ignore. 🔚 Conclusion The market's heavy feeling is the product of a confirmed technical break, quantifiable fearful sentiment, and inescapable macro pressures. For the disciplined participant, this is a time for analysis over action, for monitoring key levels like $72K-$74K BTC with objectivity. True market strength is often revealed not in the rally, but in the response to selling pressure. The next few sessions will be informative. Stay focused on verifiable data, manage your risk accordingly, and remember that in crypto, volatility is not an exception—it's the rule. --- 📄 Disclosure / Risk Warning: This content is strictly for informational and educational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and involves substantial risk of loss. You should conduct your own independent research (DYOR) and consider your financial situation before making any investment decisions. The author may hold positions in the assets discussed. $BTC $ETH

📈 Market Direction Bitcoin (BTC$BTC ) rebound eyes key resistance: BTC has shown renewed strength after recent volatility, including reclaiming levels near $70K following prior declines and market-wide deleveraging. This rebound suggests buyers are stepping in at lower levels, but broader trend uncertainty remains. � Reuters +1 Ethereum (ETH$ETH ) remains under pressure with downside risks, but recent data hints at accumulation among investors despite volatility. � Cryptonews +1 XRP has bounced from lows and posted notable relative strength in rebounds, contributing to altcoin upside signalling broader market relief attempts. � Barron's 📊 Pi / PI Coin (PIGEON$Pigeon ) Pi/PI Coin is under heavy sell pressure and trading near lows with limited liquidity. Bearish momentum persists, but ecosystem updates (mainnet migration fixes and KYC validator rewards) and listing speculation (e.g., Kraken roadmap) are providing potential catalysts for future participation. � CoinMarketCap +1 📉 Stablecoins USDC & USDT remain core stablecoins in the market. Traders continue to use them for liquidity and risk management amid volatility, highlighting defensive positioning and stablecoin inflows in uncertain trading conditions. � economictimes.indiatimes.com 🧠 Summary (Professional English) BTC rebound eyes key resistance as markets attempt stabilization — Bitcoin has recovered toward significant levels after steep drops, suggesting potential support-driven buying. Ethereum and XRP show mixed but improving dynamics, with ETH still under pressure and XRP contributing relative strength rebounds. Pi (PI Coin) remains speculative and weak on price, though network and listing developments offer longer-term structural interest. USDC and USDT continue to dominate stablecoin flows as traders hedge risk and maintain liquidity positions in this high-volatility crypto environment.

Bitcoin$BTC is attempting a short-term recovery after heavy volatility, while ETH and XRP$XRP continue to trade under technical pressure in a risk-off environment. Pi $PI (PI Coin) remains highly speculative with thin liquidity. A clear HOT update today is the strong rotation into USDT and USDC, showing defensive positioning by traders. Overall, short-term rebounds are visible, but the broader trend is still uncertain and fragile.